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Post by Deleted on May 15, 2021 17:11:35 GMT -6
How much do real life stats contribute to the projections? I'm not a projection guy so trying to figure it out
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Post by Philadelphia Phillies on May 15, 2021 17:12:10 GMT -6
2 out of 4 rounds that I’ve been debating between 2 players, hoped the other one would slip to my next pick, and Texas has taken them right after me.
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Post by Los Angeles Angels on May 15, 2021 18:14:33 GMT -6
How much do real life stats contribute to the projections? I'm not a projection guy so trying to figure it out The only stats that matter for the sim are on the zips DMB disk. Whatever is on the Zips website isn't really relevant. That said, real life stats should have an influence on how the players are rated next year. Though I don't know how much smoothing Zips does. |
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Post by New York Mets on May 15, 2021 22:25:16 GMT -6
How much do real life stats contribute to the projections? I'm not a projection guy so trying to figure it out The only stats that matter for the sim are on the zips DMB disk. Whatever is on the Zips website isn't really relevant. That said, real life stats should have an influence on how the players are rated next year. Though I don't know how much smoothing Zips does. The introduction Dan did to ZiPS on FanGraphs really is a must-read: blogs.fangraphs.com/the-2021-zips-projections-an-introduction/. With all of the [ML] wildcards taken early, there are going to be some real steals in these next few rounds. Probably a lot of older guys who will even fall to the [2/A2/A3] slots in the 7th and 8th Rounds. |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on May 16, 2021 9:41:47 GMT -6
Come on slow pokes
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Post by New York Mets on May 16, 2021 11:35:39 GMT -6
It's interesting to see the trends happening. In the 4th Round, 17 of the 30 selections were SP--which was more than double the amount of pitchers taken in any previous round.
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Post by Atlanta Braves on May 16, 2021 11:38:12 GMT -6
Ya I may need to start drafting non starting pitchers lol
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Post by New York Mets on May 16, 2021 12:25:53 GMT -6
If he's healthy, Josh Donaldson being able to fake it as a SS is a steal at this stage.
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Post by Tampa Bay Rays on May 16, 2021 12:41:34 GMT -6
A light breeze would put half my team on the DL. The average age is 34.15 Years old. My offense consists of a DH who will be playing Left field and a 3rd baseman who might play short.
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Post by Los Angeles Angels on May 16, 2021 18:56:00 GMT -6
If a player retires from MLB, does our contract end? Asking in response to the Verlander pick.
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Post by New York Mets on May 16, 2021 19:28:52 GMT -6
If a player retires from MLB, does our contract end? Asking in response to the Verlander pick. If a player officially retires, then they would be removed from their B1G team and that contract would come off the books. It can be a dangerous game counting on when a player will retire. |
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Post by Oakland Athletics on May 16, 2021 19:50:32 GMT -6
Carlos Beltran was a fun one iirc.
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Post by New York Mets on May 16, 2021 20:07:30 GMT -6
Carlos Beltran was a fun one iirc. Nothing can make me hate Carlos Beltran any more than Game 7 of the 2006 NLCS. |
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Post by Boston Red Sox on May 17, 2021 13:39:11 GMT -6
It was Verdugo or Stroman on that 5th round pick choice. Kicking myself now for it.
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Post by Oakland Athletics on May 17, 2021 13:47:27 GMT -6
No Ragrets is how Oakland is dealing with this draft.
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Post by Deleted on May 17, 2021 13:50:20 GMT -6
Considering picking 25th, i'm very pleased. Flaherty, Gray, Rendon, and Bryant? I'll take that any day!
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Post by New York Mets on May 17, 2021 15:32:35 GMT -6
Just to clarify, the [ML] wildcard isn't constrained by the maximum years you can sign someone at the slot value. Those are two separate entities so it isn't Weathers or Adell as a [ML] player for 3 years. Once those players reach the MLB rookie eligibility requirements of 130 or more career ABs or 50 or more career IP, then that offseason they'll move to the [.5/1/A1/A2/A3] pay scale so you're delaying when you would start to pay them and gain more future cost-control.
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Post by New York Mets on May 17, 2021 17:04:50 GMT -6
Not sure if Colorado knows he's up yet, but I've sent a few messages--trying to let people know beforehand when their pick might be coming up. He's said he's been busy, but hopefully we can flip around to the 6th Round soon.
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Post by Oakland Athletics on May 17, 2021 17:08:59 GMT -6
Not sure if Colorado knows he's up yet, but I've sent a few messages--trying to let people know beforehand when their pick might be coming up. He's said he's been busy, but hopefully we can flip around to the 6th Round soon. I think this is a good strategy when we hit some of the slow spots. Get lists of like 5 from the next 5 teams out if they aren't one of the nerds like me who are checking this forum way too much. |
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Post by Los Angeles Angels on May 17, 2021 17:31:39 GMT -6
Making two picks at once is high stakes. Although I'd like to get through this quickly, I'm happy to wait when need be.
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Post by Deleted on May 17, 2021 22:03:36 GMT -6
Considering picking 25th, i'm very pleased. Flaherty, Gray, Rendon, and Bryant? I'll take that any day! That is a nice start. |
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Post by Oakland Athletics on May 17, 2021 22:13:33 GMT -6
I think almost any teams besides like 3 could feel really good about their drafts so far. Beauty of being only through 5 rounds.
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Post by Deleted on May 18, 2021 6:07:42 GMT -6
Is there a new file that came out after round 5? Havent seen it yet, can someone forward to me...it will help me make my upcoming pick much faster!!
Don
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Post by Los Angeles Angels on May 18, 2021 6:35:27 GMT -6
Always google a player before picking them. Filepe Vazquez is in jail and definitely not eligible to play, yet he's rated (quite highly) on the Zips disk!
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Post by New York Mets on May 18, 2021 9:14:35 GMT -6
Always google a player before picking them. Filepe Vazquez is in jail and definitely not eligible to play, yet he's rated (quite highly) on the Zips disk! Very true. Someone like Tanaka would not be eligible since he signed overseas. Someone like Yasiel Puig would also not be eligible because he's not signed and playing with a MLB franchise. |
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Post by Los Angeles Angels on May 18, 2021 9:46:38 GMT -6
Dodgers take Josh Fleming for 3 years baseball-reference tells me today is his birthday! |
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Post by Oakland Athletics on May 18, 2021 9:58:31 GMT -6
Always google a player before picking them. Filepe Vazquez is in jail and definitely not eligible to play, yet he's rated (quite highly) on the Zips disk! Very true. Someone like Tanaka would not be eligible since he signed overseas. Someone like Yasiel Puig would also not be eligible because he's not signed and playing with a MLB franchise. Also when tragedies like Oscar Taveras and Jose Fernandez happen those players are no longer able to be used.  |
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Post by Deleted on May 19, 2021 4:23:15 GMT -6
Don't want to sound like a broke record but loving how this draft is going. I like trying to figure out what everyone else is trying to figure out. Some teams still have no pitchers 6 rounds in. Everyone has a different mind set. I love it
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Post by Deleted on May 19, 2021 5:42:06 GMT -6
When a 3-year contract expires, the player becomes a free agent?
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Post by New York Mets on May 19, 2021 8:07:21 GMT -6
When a 3-year contract expires, the player becomes a free agent? Correct, when any contract expires, they'll become a Free Agent. In Free Agency, a team who re-signs their player will have a 25% hometown discount applied to their winning bid--there's no long-term or other discounts though. |
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